韩国政府的一个研究机构说，朝鲜的新领导人今年晚些时候将下令进行第三次核试验，或者进行一次远程导弹试射。韩国外交与国家安全研究所星期三发表一 份报告警告说，金正恩将奉行“先军政治”，以提高他作为军事领导人的形象以及加强对权力的控制。这份报告预计朝鲜将在2012年底或2013年初进行核试 验或远程导弹试射，届时美国和韩国将举行总统选举。韩国外交与国家安全研究所隶属于韩国外交部。该机构说，朝鲜的核试验可能使用朝鲜铀浓缩设施生产的材 料。该设施是2010年公开的。
A South Korean government research agency says North Korea's new leader will either order a third nuclear test or a long-range missile launch later this year. A report issued Wednesday by the Institute for Foreign Affairs and National Security warns that Kim Jong Un will engage in "military adventurism" to boost his image as a military leader, as well as his grip on power. It predicts the tests will be conducted in late 2012 or early 2013, when both the United States and South Korea will hold presidential elections. The institute, which is affiliated with the foreign ministry, says the nuclear test could utilize material from the North's uranium enrichment facility, which it unveiled in 2010.