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There is still no easy way out. The crisis of confidence in Greek debt has eased, now that the European Union appears ready to help. The extreme price of insuring Greek debt fell sharply as a result. But this only gave way to the reality that the eurozone, and the rest of the world, still face intractable problems. In Europe there are two problems. First, Greece is suffering a strike by public sector workers protesting the austerity measures that the government is proposing. This is a reminder that cutting government deficits is painful, and politically difficult. Second, it might just have been better not to offer the Greeks any help. German central banks earned a reputation for rigid orthodoxy, and the European Central Bank, still based in Frankfurt, inherited it. Now, it appears to be caving in to pressure. Many believe the credit crisis was exacerbated by the Federal Reserve's willingness to aid stricken institutions over the years, so this is not encouraging. The euro continued to fall. In the US, there is another dilemma for another central bank. The market's recovery owes much to the exceptionally easy monetary policies that the Fed has been pursuing. These cannot last forever. Getting out of easy money will require as much creativity as getting into it in the first place. Thus, the Fed's chairman Ben Bernanke thought out loud yesterday about how to exit, with the main options being to raise the discount rate at which the Fed lends directly to banks, and to manipulate the interest rate it pays on reserves. He has thought out loud on these subjects in the past, and it was hard to see anything new in his testimony. But it briefly sent stocks down and strengthened the dollar. The mere reminder that the day will come when governments do not make life easy was enough to scare markets. There will be an exit. But there is no easy exit. 退出是早晚的,但并不容 易。
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